Schumer: Georgia Senate race ‘going downhill’ but Pennsylvania debate ‘didn’t hurt us too much’
posted at 3:05 pm on December 8, 2014 by Allahpundit
We’ve been saying for weeks that the only Senate race in the U.S. in which Republicans are within sight of actually having a chance to win the seat is the one in Pennsylvania, and now it appears to be starting to look like this race will be a race worth talking about.
Pennsylvania is a toss-up, but even in an R+16-district, it’s a solid Republican race, which means that if Mitt Romney doesn’t get 60 percent of the vote, it will be over before the night is over.
As for the one in Georgia, we’ve been warning about the “going down hill” angle in the race for some time, but here’s a really good example:
The polls in the first two weeks of November showed a lead among Republican primary voters of 50 percent to 45 percent, said pollster Dan Hicks. But three weeks later, in the runoff, the numbers have flipped. In the week of the filing deadline, Democrats have been overperforming, and Republicans have been underperforming.
In the week of the filing deadline, Democrats have been overperforming, and Republicans have been underperforming.
To be fair, I’m sure that Hicks’s own numbers aren’t actually on the books, but it’s pretty clear in the story that the pollster thought that Republican voters were trending Republican.
And while they’re underperforming, they’re underperforming because the race is close enough that the GOP establishment is concerned about what might happen if Romney gets over 50 percent of the vote and falls below 51.
This is just the first in a series of polling data that really start to make the Georgia race interesting, and not just because Republicans are trying to figure out what to do about this one.
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