In the battle for Hispanic voters, Dems say they win because they got more Hispanic lawmakers out, in states like Florida, New Mexico, Nevada and Arizona, where they can’t recruit enough. That, they say, is the best way to go. Romney, meanwhile, won in some battleground counties because voters wanted to give him a break. A Romney campaign spokesman points to polls showing that independents are more likely to back him, in part because they have a sense of entitlement to economic growth, even though he proposes to slow it down.
AD
AD
When a Republican wins, it is usually because his party has picked up some good voters who previously voted the other way. A few years from now, both parties will look back and see that by this point, there had been four successful GOP presidential candidates — four — while the Democrats have had only one. For now, the GOP is enjoying a surge, driven in part by millennials who believe that things have gotten too out of control and that they have the right to make change. The GOP’s advantage is not absolute, but it is real.
One key factor that has not been taken into account in the Democratic case is that most minorities are less motivated by economic issues than they once were. It is the older generations, not millennials, who remember the economic downturn, and their memories still rankle. Many of the millennials who will vote aren’t even interested in voting. Most don’t think either party cares about them. This is not a surprise. Demographics are destiny — for the party in power, anyway.
If you’re a member of the white working class, there’s a good chance you don’t actually feel the effects of the Great Recession, but all of those millions of job losses certainly did. There is simply no way that one generation of people made less because of that, and the other generation was made more. It’s not likely that the people who feel the worst effects of the Great Recession have any incentive to vote for the party that did so much to make the situation worse.
AD
AD
And, as mentioned, many of those people who do vote have no clue what the parties’ policies are and they don’t know what would be at
